Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.060737 6.922646 7.875844 9.010251 10.326227 11.807935 13.607114
2025-03-09 4.789827 5.874506 7.170778 8.841494 10.948435 13.531199 16.958426
2025-03-16 3.995543 5.158244 6.628113 8.636798 11.332200 14.854653 19.856618
2025-03-23 3.644121 4.909983 6.587389 8.996038 12.404074 17.110469 24.200769
2025-03-30 3.295247 4.602658 6.405476 9.105859 13.104837 18.898002 28.089605
2025-04-06 2.969369 4.279209 6.149145 9.055854 13.537395 20.312410 31.574303
2025-04-13 2.687520 3.982687 5.890053 8.955728 13.858398 21.564421 34.935269
2025-04-20 2.540443 3.867473 5.881416 9.225417 14.768095 23.820886 40.211921
2025-04-27 2.395811 3.738649 5.833832 9.419200 15.563561 25.966785 45.576290
2025-05-04 2.299820 3.675260 5.879420 9.763141 16.638819 28.698365 52.351483
2025-05-11 2.101834 3.426675 5.598062 9.519862 16.657699 29.560585 55.748571
2025-05-18 1.948458 3.238370 5.398939 9.395936 16.869313 30.783725 59.992454
2025-05-25 1.812022 3.069648 5.222107 9.300576 17.135070 32.162373 64.803050
2025-06-01 1.682065 2.901245 5.030905 9.158900 17.295318 33.352843 69.397832
2025-06-08 1.555489 2.728184 4.815935 8.949585 17.296486 34.218149 73.407100
2025-06-15 1.522053 2.720597 4.900879 9.323522 18.504472 37.701228 83.793582
2025-06-22 1.456515 2.647881 4.857343 9.437775 19.186726 40.150711 92.172685
2025-06-29 1.375941 2.540264 4.737964 9.385774 19.508035 41.846050 99.001509
2025-07-06 1.296119 2.427932 4.600124 9.281646 19.702619 43.276086 105.393069
2025-07-13 1.264939 2.408051 4.642905 9.562127 20.783567 46.884345 117.987470
2025-07-20 1.227061 2.371773 4.649261 9.763682 21.705728 50.232672 130.474371
2025-07-27 1.206562 2.368898 4.723475 10.121459 23.034170 54.747791 146.996901
2025-08-03 1.129951 2.245000 4.534967 9.868389 22.865369 55.474982 152.824775